Bitcoin (BTC) holds above $81,000 as short-term momentum strengthens.
\nWeak network growth signals cautious market participation.
\nBTC faces major resistance at $89,500.<\/p>\n
Bitcoin has climbed above $81,000, extending its monthly recovery and testing its highest trading range in roughly three months.<\/p>\n
At press time, BTC was trading around $81,467 after gaining 5.2% over the past seven days and 17.6% over the last 30 days.<\/p>\n
The latest move places Bitcoin<\/a> in a critical technical zone, with several underlying metrics suggesting the rally is still developing under cautious conditions rather than broad market conviction.<\/p>\n While Bitcoin\u2019s spot price has improved, on-chain data point to weaker user participation than during previous major rallies.<\/p>\n Active addresses and transaction activity have not increased at the same pace as price, signalling that retail demand remains limited.<\/p>\n This divergence between price and blockchain activity often suggests that current momentum is being supported more by institutional demand and large investors than by widespread organic adoption.<\/p>\n Notably, institutional participation through spot Bitcoin ETFs has surged, with billions in capital inflows helping stabilise prices above key support zones.<\/p>\n However, derivatives market participation has remained relatively restrained compared to previous breakout cycles, with lower speculative leverage and softer futures activity indicating traders are cautious.<\/p>\n In addition, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index<\/a> currently reads 50, placing sentiment in neutral territory.<\/p>\n This reflects a market that is neither euphoric nor fearful, reinforcing the idea that Bitcoin\u2019s recent strength has not yet triggered widespread speculative enthusiasm.<\/p>\n Bitcoin\u2019s short-term technical structure remains positive, with 12 out of 23 major technical indicators<\/a>\u00a0leaning bullish currently.<\/p>\n Furthermore, BTC is trading above its 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages, which support continued bullish momentum.<\/p>\n\n However, Bitcoin remains below its long-term 200-day EMA, showing that macro resistance is still intact.<\/p>\n The 14-day Relative Strength Index stands at 69.5, placing BTC just below overbought territory.<\/p>\n While this suggests strong momentum, traders should closely watch for possible exhaustion if RSI breaks above 70 without stronger volume.<\/p>\n Bitcoin\u2019s fourth halving took place in April 2024, reducing miner rewards to 3.125 BTC per block.<\/p>\n The asset is now approximately 25 months into its post-halving cycle.<\/p>\n Historically, this stage has often aligned with stronger price expansion, heightened volatility, and eventual cycle peaks before larger retracements.<\/p>\n Previous Bitcoin bull cycles reached new all-time highs roughly 1,405 to 1,477 days apart.<\/p>\n Based on this pattern, the current cycle may still have room for further upside, though historical trends also suggest increasing risks of correction as the cycle matures.<\/p>\n Looking at the current market structure, the immediate resistance zone sits at $89,479.<\/p>\n A confirmed close above that level could open the path toward the next resistance near $90,975.<\/p>\n However, in case of a pullback, especially if the oversold region is reached, then the key support level sits at $75,109.<\/p>\n A break below $75,109 would likely weaken the bullish structure and raise the probability of deeper corrections.<\/p>\n Moving ahead, traders should carefully monitor the Bitcoin ETF inflows, whale accumulation, and RSI behaviour, for clearer confirmation of whether the current move can develop into a larger sustained rally.<\/p>\n The post Bitcoin price crosses $81K, but derivatives and network activity remain low: check forecast<\/a> appeared first on CoinJournal<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bitcoin (BTC) holds above $81,000 as short-term momentum strengthens. Weak network growth signals cautious market participation. BTC faces major resistance at $89,500. Bitcoin has climbed above $81,000, extending its monthly recovery and testing its highest trading range in roughly three months. At press time, BTC was trading around $81,467 after gaining 5.2% over the past […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":7273,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-7272","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoin"},"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7272"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7272\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7273"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7272"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7272"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Network activity and derivatives participation remain muted<\/h2>\n
Technical indicators show bullish momentum<\/h2>\n
Post-halving cycle points to late-stage expansion<\/h2>\n
Short-term Bitcoin forecast remains cautiously bullish<\/h2>\n