{"id":6366,"date":"2026-02-10T22:17:04","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T22:17:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/10\/bitcoin-backed-bonds-facing-stress-test-after-bitcoin-selloff-sp-says\/"},"modified":"2026-02-10T22:17:04","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T22:17:04","slug":"bitcoin-backed-bonds-facing-stress-test-after-bitcoin-selloff-sp-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/2026\/02\/10\/bitcoin-backed-bonds-facing-stress-test-after-bitcoin-selloff-sp-says\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin-Backed Bonds Facing Stress Test After Bitcoin Selloff, S&amp;P Says"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/\">Bitcoin Magazine<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/news\/bitcoin-backed-bonds-facing-stress-test\">Bitcoin-Backed Bonds Facing Stress Test After Bitcoin Selloff, S&amp;P Says<\/a><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<p>Wall Street\u2019s first attempt at a public bond sale backed by bitcoin loans has hit some turbulence after bitcoin\u2019s sharp decline triggered forced liquidations.<\/p>\n<p>Bankers at Jefferies have spent months pitching institutional investors on a $188 million asset-backed bond deal tied to thousands of loans issued by crypto lender Ledn, according to <em>Wall Street Journal <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/bitcoin-backed-bond-sale-hit-by-crypto-turbulence-f968eddc\" target=\"_blank\">reporting<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The structure is designed to package one-year loans made to individuals who post bitcoin as collateral, with proceeds from the bond sale providing <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/business\/ledn-publishes-industry-first-monthly-loan-book-and-proof-of-reserves-data\">Ledn<\/a> additional capital to extend new credit.<\/p>\n<p>But the transaction has been tested after bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/news\/bitcoin-price-plunges-toward-60000\">fell roughly<\/a> 27% since mid-January, prompting margin calls across the loan pool. Ledn was forced to liquidate about one-quarter of the loans intended to back the deal, according to <em>WSJ.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In other words, the bitcoin-backed credit product faced a stress test pretty early on when bitcoin price volatility triggered margin calls across the loan book.<\/p>\n<p>Ledn\u2019s bonds are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.globalcapital.com\/article\/2fy3pdiqt2uwyzma5mxhc\/securitization\/first-bitcoin-loan-securitization-reaches-us-abs-market\" target=\"_blank\">expected<\/a> to pay investors between 3 and 6 percentage points above benchmark rates.<\/p>\n<p>Jefferies, which has been expanding its presence in structured finance, has increasingly offered more complex and less tested asset-backed products.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The bank has also pushed further into crypto dealmaking, including advising trading platform NinjaTrade on its $1.5 billion <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kraken.com\/press\/releases\/kraken-to-acquire-ninjatrader-introducing-the-next-era-of-professional-trading\" target=\"_blank\">sale<\/a> to exchange Kraken last year.<\/p>\n<p>Originally, Jefferies told investors the Ledn bonds would be supported by $199 million in bitcoin-backed loans and $1 million in cash. That mix has shifted significantly following the liquidations, with roughly $150 million of loans and $50 million of cash now forming the collateral pool, the <em>WSJ <\/em>reported<em>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In other words, what was marketed as a bond supported primarily by interest-generating loans is now backed far more heavily by cash, showing fragility of the structure during sharp drawdowns.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">S&amp;P\u2019s bitcoin bond ratings<\/h2>\n<p>Despite the disruption, the bond deal remains scheduled to close on Feb. 18, according to S&amp;P Global Ratings, which assigned a rating to the notes. Ledn must now redeploy liquidation proceeds into new loans to generate the interest income needed to meet payments to bondholders.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P ratings outlined the structure and key risks behind Ledn Issuer Trust 2026-1. S&amp;P said the initial collateral pool consisted of 5,441 fixed-rate balloon loans to 2,914 borrowers, with an aggregate principal balance of about $199.1 million as of Dec. 31, 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The loans are secured by roughly 4,079 bitcoin, valued at approximately $356.9 million at the cutoff date, with a weighted-average interest rate of 11.8% and a weighted-average loan-to-value ratio of 55.8%.<\/p>\n<p>The report noted that bitcoin\u2019s sharp decline in early February forced Ledn to liquidate a \u201csignificant share\u201d of loans slated for the deal. S&amp;P said all liquidations were executed below an 81.4% LTV threshold, shifting the portfolio mix toward fewer loans and more cash in the funding account, while keeping the total collateral package at $200 million.<\/p>\n<p>S&amp;P\u2019s analysis focused on borrower default behavior, recovery rates during liquidation, and concentration risk.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The agency said margin-driven defaults represent the most acute stress scenario because liquidations occur when bitcoin prices are falling, potentially into thin or volatile markets where execution slippage matters most.<\/p>\n<p>Because Ledn underwrites loans primarily based on bitcoin collateral rather than borrower credit profiles, S&amp;P said traditional consumer loan performance metrics are limited.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At the \u2018A\u2019 stress level, the agency applied a conservative 100% default assumption, with modeled stresses for the rated notes including a 79% default rate and 68% recovery for the BBB- class A tranche.<\/p>\n<p>S&amp;P highlighted structural mitigants including overcollateralization, early amortization triggers, a liquidity reserve funded at 5% of note balance, and Ledn\u2019s automated liquidation engine, which it said has successfully liquidated 7,493 loans over seven years without principal losses.<\/p>\n<p>Still, S&amp;P flagged key weaknesses, including bitcoin\u2019s historic volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and a conflict of interest tied to Ledn\u2019s past practice of rolling loans by capitalizing unpaid interest.<\/p>\n<p>Ledn plans to require cash interest payments for renewals starting in 2027, which S&amp;P said reduces liquidity stress over time.<\/p>\n<p>According to the <em>WSJ, <\/em>If bitcoin\u2019s price drops and a loan exceeds 70% of collateral value, borrowers must add more bitcoin. At 80%, Ledn automatically liquidates collateral to repay the debt.<\/p>\n<p>This post <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/news\/bitcoin-backed-bonds-facing-stress-test\">Bitcoin-Backed Bonds Facing Stress Test After Bitcoin Selloff, S&amp;P Says<\/a> first appeared on <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/\">Bitcoin Magazine<\/a> and is written by <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinmagazine.com\/authors\/micahzimmerman\">Micah Zimmerman<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin Magazine Bitcoin-Backed Bonds Facing Stress Test After Bitcoin Selloff, S&amp;P Says Wall Street\u2019s first attempt at a public bond sale backed by bitcoin loans has hit some turbulence after bitcoin\u2019s sharp decline triggered forced liquidations. Bankers at Jefferies have spent months pitching institutional investors on a $188 million asset-backed bond deal tied to thousands [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":6367,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-6366","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-bitcoin"},"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6366","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6366"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6366\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6367"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6366"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6366"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digkrypton.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6366"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}